2022 AFC South Fantasy Preview

2022 AFC South Fantasy Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars did an upgrade with their skill positions this offseason to try and help second year QB Trevor Lawrence improve from a less than stellar rookie season. With newly acquired WR Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and TE Evan Engram,as well as his collage teammate RB Travis Etienne, coming off a season ending foot injury, will make for an easier time for a more dynamic offense. Possibly being without RB James Robinson at the beginning of this season will hurt the depth at position.

This season, Lawrence is looking to bounce back big time throwing 12:17 TD: INT ratio. His new cast will be a huge part of that development as the Jaguars spent big money on newly acquired Kirk (4yr, 84Mil), look for his to step up his game being the primary slot receiver with plenty of targets coming his way. Marvin Jones Jr and Zay Jones will work as the outside receivers being the No. 2 and 3 respectively on the team for targets. Engram is looking to revive his career as the teams lead tight end, hopefully he can earn Lawrence’s trust to get his some targets.  Etienne and Robinson are going to be slow starts to the season coming off of season ending injuries. Etienne is currently practicing but could be on a snap count to start the season to ensure that he doesn’t reinjure. Robinson will be ready closer to the beginning of the season so watch for them to ease him back from his Achilles injury.

 

Projection:

Trevor Lawrence: 355 completions, 3,856 yards, 27 TD, 17 INT, 288 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs

Travis Etienne: 230 attempts, 840 yards, 6 TD, 45 Rec, 250 yards, 3 TD

James Robinson: 175 attempts, 650 yards, 5 TD, 25 rec, 145 yards, 1 TD

Christian Kirk: 92 rec, 1,092 yards, 7 TD

Marvin Jones: 70 rec, 688 yards, 5 TD

Zay Jones:  45 rec, 455 yards, 3 TD

Evan Engram: 58 rec, 656 yards, 6 TD

 

 

Houston Texans

Houston is returning a lot of the same cast as they had last year. Not drafting a quarterback in this years draft means that they will be leaning on QB Davis Mills to progress in his second year with the team. The team did draft newcomers WR John Metchie III (2nd Round) and RB Dameon Peirce (4th Round) that should make an impact early on. The team also added RB Marlon Mack to their roster in hopes that he returns to the power runner he was before his Achilles injury.

The team is hoping that Mills will take a step forward in developing with his WR group. WR Brandin Cooks will lead the team in receptions as he has been one of the most consistent receivers in the league with 6 1,000 yard seasons (Mike Evans is the only player with more 7) since 2015. WR Nico Collins will continue as the No. 2 as the big bodied red zone threat opposite of Cooks. Newly drafted Metchie is rehabbing a torn ACL. When he does come back, expect the team to be cautious the first couple of months giving him a snap count. Mack, Burkhead and Peirce will start the season as a committee. Look for Mack to be the lead back to begin the season and if he doesn’t find his groove, Peirce will likely take over the second half of the season. TE Brevin Jordan had a rough rookie season, playing only 9 games. Tight ends usually take two to three seasons to develop into a fantasy relevant player, expect slight increase this year but to break out in 2023.

Projections:

Davis Mills: 360 completions, 3,750 yards, 28 TD, 17 INT, 90 rushing yards

Marlon Mack: 160 attempts, 578 yards, 4 TD, 20 receptions, 160 yards, 2 TD

Dameon Peirce: 150 attempts, 625 yards, 5 TD, 45 reception, 248 yards 3 TD

Brandin Cooks: 92 receptions, 1094 yards, 7 TD

Nico Collins: 55 receptions, 677 yards, 5 TD

John Metchie: 48 reception, 530 yards, 3TD

Brevin Jordon: 45 reception, 480 yards, 4 TD

 

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts had a decent amount of their team come back from last year. They did lose WR Zach Pascal, TE Jack Doyle to retirement and WR TY Hilton is still lingering in free agency. They do have a lot of new faces on the offense fantasy wise. RB Phillip Lindsay and RB Ty’Son Williams are new depth pieces behind the starting RB’s. Newly drafted WR Alec Pierce (2ndRound), TE Jelani Woods (3rd Round) and Andrew Ogletree (6thRound) will transition into the passing game that has been thinned out over the years. The biggest addition of the offseason was trading for QB Matt Ryan 5 days after trading away QB Carson Wentz. The Colts also signed QB Nick Foles to up back up Ryan.

With newly added Ryan, the Colts hope that they have found their bridge QB for a Super Bowl ready team. Reports from camp are already positive from WR Michael Pittman that Ryan is doing phenomenal and putting the ball exactly where he wants it. Look for Pittman to grow off of his break out campaign from last year and continue being the top WR for the team. The team is hoping that WR Parris Campbell is able to shake his injury bug from the past three seasons. If he isn’t able to, they have Pierce that should line up as the No. 2 for the team. RB Jonathan Taylor and RB Nyheim Hines are locked up at the top two respectively at their position. Taylor is coming back as the top RB from last season. His usage will still be among the best in the league, but expect Hines to be used more frequently in the passing game than he was last season. The TE position is stacked with potential. Mo Alie-Cox just got paid this offseason, Kylen Granson is entering his second year and the two rookies make for a packed TE room.

Projections:

Matt Ryan: 374 completions, 4,132 yards, 34 TD, 9 INT, 122 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs

Jonathan Taylor: 334 attempts, 14 TD, 52 receptions, 415 yards and 3 TD

Nyheim Hines: 70 attempts, 414 yards, 2 TD, 65 receptions, 620 yards, 5 TD

Michael Pittman: 98 receptions, 1205 yards, 8 TD

Alec Pierce: 56 receptions, 730 yards, 5 TD

Mo Alie-Cox: 55 receptions, 670 yards, 7 TD

 

Tennessee Titans

The Titans have seen a lot of new faces at their skill positions this offseason. Starting with their WR room they have watch WR AJ Brown get traded to the Eagles for the draft pick that allowed them to pick WR Treylon Burks in the 1st round. Fellow draftee WR Kyle Philips was taken in the 5th round will be competing for the WR3 spot on the team. The Titans also traded a future 6th round pick for WR Robert Woods hoping that he comes back from a mid-season ACL tear. TE Austin Hooper joined the team to help rejuvenate his career. RB Hassan Haskins (4th Round) and QB Malik Willis (3rd Round) will to sit behind current starters for the current moment.

QB Ryan Tannehill will be with a whole new supporting cast this year other than RB Derrick Henry. Watch for Tannehill to have a slow start to the season while he gets up to speed with his new weapons. Henry came back in the playoffs after fracturing his foot. Before his foot injury, Henry led the league in yards and touches, but looked lackluster in the Titans playoff loss to the Bengals. Henry should still be a top five back this season. There are high expectations for Burks to come in and immediately take over Brown’s targets in the offense. Meanwhile, Woods is coming back from an ACL tear and should be recovered by the time training camp starts.  Woods has been a consistent contributor since 2018, but has seen regression in his yardage since. Hooper has a chance of being a reliable target for Tannehill.

Projections:

Ryan Tannehill: 325 completions, 3,589 yards, 22 TD, 15 INT, 233 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs

Derrick Henry: 391 attempts, 9 TD, 25 receptions, 240 yards, 2 TD

Treylon Burks: 70 receptions, 624 yards, 4 TD

Robert Woods: 65 receptions, 725 yards, 5 TD

Austin Hooper: 52 receptions, 545 yards, 7 TD

 

Biggest Steal: Christian Kirk is going to be the biggest steal in the draft. He may not have had the highest target share on the Cardinals the past few years, but the Jaguars are counting on him to be the No.1. He is a late round target that will have the highest upside.

 

Best Value: Brandin Cooks has proven year after year that he is as consistent as they come. He has had several QBs throwing to him and still produces. Expect another solid performance from the Texan this year.

 

Stay away: Although Marlon Mack is the starter right now; he will soon lose that title by midseason. Mack is coming off of an Achilles tear that can take several years to come back from. Expect a low floor of production.

 

Breakout Player: Davis Mills will break out this season and will give the Texans no immediate reason to draft a QB in next year’s draft. The team has done a good job of putting playmakers around Mills to only further his development in year two. Lawrence would be a close second only he has higher draft capitol and expectations to be the starter in Jacksonville.


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