Week #12 Waiver Watch of Truth
Week #12 Waiver Watch of Truth
Welcome back Truth Serum fans, sorry I was unavailable last week, needed to be with my family following the death of a close relative. I am back now and willing to provide my recommendations as we start to prepare for fantasy playoffs so waiver decisions become even more important than normal since they are often the difference between wins and losses, so let’s dive into this week’s must adds.
Cam Newton, 57% rostered on Sleeper
I know Cam violates my rule about not recommending players over 50% rostered but with the position so incredibly thin at the moment Newton needs to be mentioned. He has a ton of fantasy value both as a passer and a rusher, this week he completed 21 of 27 passes for 189 yards, two touchdowns, and had 46 yards on the ground and another touchdown. Meaning in two games since re-signing with the Panthers he has 5 touchdowns, 3 passing and 2 rushing despite paltry numbers and against relatively talented defenses. In week 12, he gets to play the Dolphins defense, which should allow him to remain a prolific passer and rusher.
Trevor Siemian, 10% rostered on Sleeper
Siemian is a much riskier prospect than Newton but he is far less owned and he has to play the Bills next week, who will be looking for revenge after being thrashed by Jonathan Taylor this week. However, after the Bills, the Saints have an extremely favorable group of matchups to end the season playing the Cowboys, Jets, Buccaneers, Dolphins, and Panthers. None of which have elite secondaries or haven’t been playing well lately. Siemian isn’t as good as many quarterbacks but in the right system and right opponent he is an excellent play and this week against the Eagles he completed 22 of 40 passes for 214 yards and 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and also got another rushing score so don’t expect a ton of efficiency but there will almost certainly be a lot of garbage time production from him.
QB Honorable Mentions
Tua Tagovailoa, 50% rostered
Jimmy Garopplo, 37% rostered
Ty Johnson, 29% rostered on Sleeper and Tevin Coleman, 10% rostered on Sleeper
The running back position on the waiver wire is insanely thin this week, meaning pretty much everyone is a dart through that you hope will have a good day. Ty and Coleman are perfect examples of this, the Jets frequently play from behind, and with Carter going down with an injury, both had a chance to step up and both vastly under-delivered. Coleman had a paltry 16 yards on 5 attempts and a reception for 2 yards. Ty had a single rushing attempt for 5 yards and one reception for 8. Neither inspire confidence but if Carter misses extended time, Ty should benefit the most since the Jets will be playing from behind and frankly he is just playing better then Coleman but the bar is so low for both they can only go up.
Sony Michel, 32% rostered on Sleeper
This is more a deep level add, yes we all know McVay prefers to have a bell cow back and that back is Darrell Henderson. However, Henderson has not been a beacon of health and in the last two games had both an ankle injury and a possible concussion. Michel should be added due to his ability to play well in relief and unfortunately you will kind of be betting on Henderson not being able to play consistently. I am not saying I want Henderson to get injured but I do think particularly Henderson owners should plan ahead and non-Henderson owners can use Michel as bait if Henderson ends up getting hurt.
Running Back Honorable Mentions
Brandon Bolden, 43% rostered
David Johnson, 38% rostered
Alex Collins, 61% rostered
Rondale Moore, 37% rostered on Sleeper
This is somewhat of a risky add, since Moore has to compete with Ertz and Kirk in the middle of the field but he has shown a unique ability to be consistent when given the opportunity. It will be difficult to judge what will happen when Hopkins and Murray eventually return but 11 receptions on 11 targets is not something any fantasy football player can ignore, especially in PPR formats. Granted it was only for 51 yards but if that level of production can be sustained Moore could be a useful add, especially if the injury bug continues to hamper the Cardinals offense.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, 17% rostered on Sleeper
Going from one of the most consistent middle of the pack receivers to a boom-or-bust option. MVS will be wildly frustrating if you add him but his boom potentially is too great to ignore. He only caught 4 of 10 targets but the 4 he caught were for 123 yards and a touchdown on a 75 yard pass. The chunk plays are what makes MVS valuable but he is wildly inconsistent, it’s always all or nothing with him. However, the Packers next game is against the Rams and with Jalen Ramsey most likely shadowing Adams and Lazard potentially still out, MVS has the chance to deliver a lot of yards in bunches again but as a Packer fan, I am warning you this is a very risky play.
Deandre Carter, 4% rostered on Sleeper
This is a play that is definitely flying under the radar, Carter wasn’t even on my radar the last few weeks but he has quietly been having an impressive campaign the last few weeks. In his last 3 games Carter has scored at least one touchdown in each and caught at least 3 passes with 51 yards, 56 yards, and 22 yards. That isn’t extremely impressive but those touchdowns are rare and that consistency is hard to ignore among active receivers. He also isn’t widely owned so he is a sneaky and potentially cheap pickup, just don’t expect an eye-popping stat line.
Wide Receiver Honorable Mentions
Cedrick Wilson, 8% rostered
Kendrick Bourne, 19% rostered
Adam Trautman, 13% rostered on Sleeper
Trautman has become a favorite target of Siemian and he has been surprisingly productive over the last few weeks. Trautman has seen 6 targets in the last 4 games, and has over 40 yards in two games and 30 plus in one along with a touchdown as well this week. This is another occasion where garbage time for the Saints will matter a great deal and once the Bills game is done, the Saints play some very beatable secondaries which should benefit a tight end like Trautman.
Cole Kmet, 30% rostered on Sleeper
Kmet had a terrible game against the Ravens but in the 4 games before that he had seen at least 5 targets in each and yardage totals of 49, 43, 24, and 87. He hasn’t gotten into the endzone yet this season but the numbers and usage are definitely trending up for Kmet, especially since Fields is not afraid to throw the ball, when the Bears coaching staff let him do so. Kmet also gets the Lions next week in what should be an easier game for the Bears so Kmet has streaming potential against a rebuilding team.
Tight End Honorable Mentions
Tyler Conklin, 39% rostered
Austin Hooper, 19% rostered
I hope this information helps for your week 12 matchups and that everyone has a great Thanksgiving with your families while watching some football. As always have a great week and as always STAY TRUE.
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